Alphabet Shares Fall 8.5% as Earnings Miss Estimates Despite Strong AI Growth

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Alphabet shares fell 8.5% on Wednesday after the Google parent reported third-quarter earnings below Wall Street expectations, as investment losses and rising costs offset strong revenue growth and accelerating demand for artificial intelligence (AI) services.

‎The company reported earnings per share of $2.12, missing the analyst consensus of $3.02 by $0.90. Revenue, however, rose 25% to $127.6 billion, slightly exceeding the $127.22 billion expected by analysts.

‎‎The earnings shortfall was driven partly by a sharp reversal in non-operating income. Alphabet recorded an $8.2 billion net expense, compared with $12.8 billion in net other income a year earlier.

‎‎The company also reported an $8.7 billion loss on equity securities, which reduced net income by $6.7 billion, equivalent to $0.55 per diluted share, after tax.

‎‎Despite the weaker earnings, Alphabet’s operating performance remained strong, with operating income increasing 30% to $40.6 billion. However, research and development expenses rose to $20.6 billion from $15.2 billion a year earlier.

‎The company’s earnings release did not specify how much each factor contributed to the $0.90-per-share shortfall against analysts’ expectations.

‎‎AI and cloud businesses record strong growth

‎‎Chief Executive Officer Sundar Pichai said Alphabet had reached a half-trillion-dollar annual revenue run rate, citing growing adoption of AI across its businesses.

‎‎Google Cloud recorded a 103% increase in revenue to $30.7 billion, while operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion.

‎‎Google Cloud Chief Executive Officer Thomas Kurian said customers of Gemini Enterprise had more than quadrupled their spending year on year. He added that more than 90% of Fortune 100 companies used the platform.

‎‎Kurian also disclosed that the division now had 18 product lines generating more than $1 billion in annual sales.

‎Pichai highlighted progress in the company’s AI models, saying its new Carbon model outperformed Gemini 4 Argon and was being tested with the US government. An initial rollout is planned for cybersecurity partners.

‎‎He also said Google search queries were growing at their fastest rate in five years.

‎‎AI infrastructure spending weighs on cash flow

‎‎Alphabet’s accelerating AI expansion has come with a substantial increase in infrastructure spending.

‎Capital expenditure reached $51.4 billion in the third quarter, more than doubling from $24 billion in the same period a year earlier. Year-to-date capital expenditure totalled $132 billion.

‎‎The company maintained its full-year capital expenditure forecast of between $195 billion and $205 billion, broadly in line with the analyst consensus of $202.21 billion.

‎‎Free cash flow turned negative at $9.1 billion, with infrastructure spending, tensor processing unit (TPU) inventory and an EU fine contributing to the outflow.

‎‎Alphabet also disclosed $924 billion in future purchase commitments, highlighting the scale of its financial obligations as it expands infrastructure to meet growing AI demand.

‎‎The combination of higher spending and substantial future commitments has increased scrutiny of how effectively the company can convert its AI investments into earnings and cash flow.

‎‎Investors weigh growth against rising costs

‎‎Alphabet’s latest results present a contrast between accelerating demand for its cloud and AI services and mounting pressure on profitability and cash generation.

‎While revenue and operating income increased, investment losses, higher research and development expenses and rising infrastructure costs weighed on the company’s financial performance.

‎‎The 8.5% decline in its shares reflected investor concerns over the earnings miss despite strong business growth.

‎‎The results leave investors weighing the potential of Alphabet’s expanding AI and cloud businesses against the costs of scaling infrastructure, its substantial future purchase commitments and volatility in investment returns.

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