Intel Shares Plunge 20% as Weak Fourth-Quarter Forecast Overshadows Strong Earnings

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Intel shares plunged 20% on Thursday after the chipmaker forecast fourth-quarter revenue and earnings well below Wall Street expectations, overshadowing stronger-than-expected third-quarter profits and surging demand for data-centre processors.

‎‎The company expects fourth-quarter revenue of between $15 billion and $16 billion, below analysts’ forecast of $17.08 billion. Adjusted earnings are projected to reach $0.25 per share, significantly lower than the consensus estimate of $0.44.

‎‎The outlook contrasts with Intel’s third-quarter performance, which exceeded analysts’ expectations. The company reported adjusted earnings of $0.52 per share, beating the forecast of $0.40, while revenue rose 21% year on year to $16.5 billion, slightly above the $16.48 billion expected.

‎‎Intel faces contrasting trends across its businesses, as robust demand for server central processing units (CPUs) helps offset weakness in the personal computer (PC) market.

‎‎“Despite near-term headwinds across the PC industry, demand for our CPUs remains robust,” chief executive Lip-Bu Tan said, attributing the results to improving execution, expanded supply and progress in process technology.

‎Chief financial officer David Zinsner warned that weakness in the PC market was expected to continue through at least the first half of next year.

‎‎Intel’s Client Computing and Physical AI Group recorded a 5% year-on-year decline in third-quarter revenue to $8.1 billion, reflecting the industry slowdown.

‎However, revenue from its Data Centre and AI segment surged 78% to $7.3 billion, marking the strongest data-centre revenue growth in 15 years, according to Zinsner.

‎‎The company’s profitability outlook also disappointed investors. Intel’s adjusted gross margin improved to 44.1% in the third quarter, up from 40% a year earlier, but it expects the figure to fall to 38% in the fourth quarter.

‎‎Meanwhile, Intel Foundry revenue increased 58% year on year to $6.7 billion. The company also generated $5.1 billion in operating cash flow during the quarter.

‎‎Investors are continuing to assess whether Intel’s manufacturing business can attract sufficient external customers to support its long-term investment plans.

‎Further updates on foundry customer commitments, manufacturing capacity and the company’s next-generation process roadmap are expected to provide additional insight into its turnaround when management discusses the results on its earnings call.

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